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Oct 14 / Dave Schumaker

Hayward Fault Earthquake Scenarios and Video

Scientists in the San Francisco Bay Area fear that the next major earthquake here will strike on the Hayward and Rogers Creek faults. In order to better understand the potential for damage and shaking intensities, the USGS has created some simulations showing how waves would propagate across the region.

Video from Wired Magazine:

From Wired:

Seismologist Mary Lou Zoback of Risk Management Solutions in Hayward estimates a magnitude 7.0 earthquake on Hayward fault quake could result in $200 billion in damage from shaking, thousands of deaths and hundreds of thousands of displaced people.

Zoback likens the quake aftermath to that of Hurricane Katrina, which caused a similar amount of damage. The difference is that only 7 or 8 percent of the Bay Area’s losses will be covered, far less than the $56 billion that flowed into Louisiana from insurance companies after Katrina.

[Via Wired]

Thanks to Kerry for the tip!

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