November 2005

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When people talk about a large tsunami hitting the United States, many people automatically thing of the Canary Island and La Palma volcano. However, scientists believe the threat of that happening is low. What are the chances of a large tsunami hitting the United States from other areas?

An earthquake in the Cascadia Subduction Zone could produce a tsunami comparable to the December 2004 Sumatra earthquake and tsunami, says Kevin Furlong, a geophysicist at Penn State. That area is capable of producing a M9.0 or large event every 300 to 500 years, with the last quake hitting in the 1700’s.

But Furlong’s biggest concern is the so-called Cascadia Subduction Zone, a 600-mile fault formed by the meeting of two tectonic plates off the Pacific coast between northern California and central Vancouver Island. “At some point this area will host an earthquake and tsunami comparable in size to what happened in December in Sumatra,” he said flatly. “And when it happens, we can expect a similar pattern of devastation.”

Fifteen to 20 years ago, Furlong conceded, “people thought the Cascadia zone was a very safe margin.” In the interim, however, several lines of research have converged to create a much different picture. First, researchers found deposits of sea-floor sediment in Oregon, Washington and British Columbia, in places too far inland to be reached by ordinary tidal activity. “When a tsunami comes in it’s picked up a lot of sand,” Furlong noted. “People talk about the wave looking black.”

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Jurassic crocodileA skelton of a large crocodile that roamed the Jurassic seas nearly 135 million years ago has been unearthed in Argentina. Its official name is Dakosaurus andiniensis, but because of its large size, scientists have nicknamed it ‘Godzilla,’ or also “Chico Malo” - Bad Boy of the Seas.

Although modern saltwater crocodiles may stretch as long as 30 feet, Gasparini and Pol calculated their creature must have been at least 12 feet long, with a total of 52 jagged, saw-like teeth in its massive jaws. The senior author of the Science report, Gasparini named the fossil creature Dakosaurus andiniensis and noted that it resembled a similar species named Dakosaurus maximus whose fossils have been found in Europe.

The authors call it “chico malo,” she said, “the bad boy of the sea.”

When Godzilla lived, a vast ocean filled much of what is now Argentina. At the base of the Andes, the water was probably up to 750 feet deep. Dakosaurus, being amphibious, probably sought its prey near the bottom of the sea while rising every now and then to gulp air, according to Pol.

After hearing that it was at least 12 feet long, I don’t feel like this animal is as impressive as people are making it out to be.

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Thanks to Caspar for sending this in. An article in the San Francisco Chronicle last week explains that scientists may be able to use fast travelling P-waves to predict how large an earthquake is and send off warnings of an impending earthquake seconds before their surface waves actually hit. This would give time for people to quickly find cover and utilities to shut down various services.

Ten years ago, geophysicists William L. Ellsworth of the U.S. Geological Survey in Menlo Park and Gregory C. Beroza of Stanford University studied 30 of the most recent earthquakes in California and South Africa and concluded that the strength of the jolts of the first P waves “exerts a strong influence on the size of the eventual earthquake.”

That observation led Allen and Olson to study in much greater detail the relationship between the nature of a quake’s P waves and its subsequent shear waves. They determined that the first jolts could indeed enable them to predict the ultimate magnitude of the temblor within seconds.

Various systems are currently be tested, such as this one mentioned in the article. More info available via Science Daily.

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Kansas pallasite with discoverers
Kansas is not ordinarily the sort of place you go looking for interesting igneous rocks. But that didn’t deter professional meteorite hunter Steve Arnold. And two weeks ago he made a stupendous find

The meteorite is classified as an “oriented pallasite.” Only two other meteorites of that type and magnitude are known: one that weighs 3,100 pounds, in Australia; and one that weighs 1,500 pounds, in Argentina.

Pallasites are a type of meteorite that has olivine crystals embedded in iron-nickel alloy.

And the fact that it is oriented, meaning it fell through the Earth’s atmosphere without spinning and formed a conical or bullet shape as its surface melted, makes it rare.

Now that’s a keeper!

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Researchers are analyzing data on Greenland’s ice sheets that has been aquired over the last decade from the European Space Agency’s ERS satellites. These satellites are able to measure elevations on the Earth’s surface to within 2 centimeters!


ERS radar altimeters work by sending 1800 separate radar pulses down to Earth per second then recording how long their echoes take to bounce back 800 kilometres to the satellite platform. The sensor times its pulses’ journey down to under a nanosecond to calculate the distance to the planet below to a maximum accuracy of two centimetres.

[...]

The result is a mixed picture, with a net increase of 6.4 centimetres per year in the interior area above 1500 metres elevation. Below that altitude, the elevation-change rate is minus 2.0 cm per year, broadly matching reported thinning in the ice-sheet margins. The trend below 1500 metres however does not include the steeply-sloping marginal areas where current altimeter data are unusable.

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