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Fewer Comets Than Previously Thought

2005 September 12
by Dave Schumaker

New simulations run by the ANU Research School of Astronomy and Astrophysics at Mt Stromlo show that there may be up to 7 times fewer comets present in our solar system than originally thought. This lowers the odds of Earth being struck by a previously unknown object that came from the Oort Cloud. “I calculate that small comets, capable of destroying a city, only hit the Earth once every 40 million years or so,” Dr Francis said. “Big continent-busting comets, as shown in the movies Armageddon and Deep Impact, are rarer still, only hitting once every 150 million years or so. So I don’t loose sleep over it, but you’re still more likely to be killed by a comet than to win the jackpot at Lotto.”

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